Manufacturing Sector - November 2013
Business Survey of the Manufacturing Sector in the Milan Area.
In November 2013, manufacturing confidence in the Milan area increased slightly and was very close to the peak of August 2013.
In detail
The confidence climate index moved to 99.8 in November from 99.0 in October. The increase of the index was due to the improvement of production expectation which reached the highest level since May 2011, and to the domestic demand that came back to the level of August 2013. On the contrary, foreign demand and stocks were stable: in particular, the latter remained just above the level considered normal.
In terms of assessments, industrial production went up to the level of July 2013. Domestic and foreign turnover improved: both values reached the peak of June 2013. Employment slight improved, recovering a part of the drop of October.
With reference to forecasts for the next 3-4 months, orders expectations marked the highest value since May 2011, whilst foreign demand slid to the level of August 2013, but it remained positive. Finally, opinions about the Italian economic rose, coming back on the level of .the summer months although they remained negative.
1. Graphs
Graph 1 - Confidence climate

Graph 2 - Production assessment

Graph 3 - Assessment on domestic orders

Graph 4 - Assessment on foreign orders

Graph 5 - Inventories

Graph 6 - Production expectation

2. Data
Table 1 - Confidence climate1
| Reference period | Index (2005=100) |
| August-13 | 100.1 |
| September-13 | 97.0 |
| October-13 | 99.0 |
| November-13 | 99.8 |
1 The industrial confidence indicator is the arithmetic average of the seasonally adjusted data on production expectations, order books and stocks of finished products (with inverted sign). The index base is 2005=100.
Table 2 - Production
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
| August-13 | -2 |
-65 |
13 |
17 |
| September-13 | -6 |
32 |
9 |
5 |
| October-13 | -2 |
6 |
13 |
-2 |
| November-13 | 0 |
-12 |
15 |
3 |
Table 3 - Domestic orders
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
| August-13 | -10 |
-66 |
1 |
6 |
| September-13 | -14 |
19 |
3 |
-1 |
| October-13 | -11 |
-3 |
6 |
-7 |
| November-13 | -10 |
-23 |
7 |
-3 |
Table 4 - Foreign orders
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
| August-13 | -1 |
-55 |
3 |
5 |
| September-13 | 0 |
33 |
0 |
4 |
| October-13 | 5 |
11 |
-6 |
-3 |
| November-13 | 5 |
-3 |
-3 |
-5 |
Table 5 - Domestic turnover
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
| August-13 | -5 | -69 |
| September-13 |
-14 | 27 |
| October-13 |
-11 | -8 |
| November-13 |
-4 | -19 |
Table 6 - Foreign turnover
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
| August-13 |
1 | -57 |
| September-13 |
-5 | 30 |
| October-13 |
1 | 11 |
| November-13 | 4 | -5 |
Table 7 - Other balances
| Reference period | Inventories seasonally adj. data |
Inventories raw data |
Employment seasonally adj. data |
Employment raw data |
Expectations on economic situation seasonally adj. data |
Expectations on economic situation raw data |
| August-13 | -4 | -9 | -5 | -9 | -18 | -19 |
| Sepetember-13 | 0 | 1 | -6 | -3 | -23 | -23 |
| October-13 | 1 | 0 | -10 | -11 | -24 | -23 |
| November-13 | 1 | 1 |
-8 | -8 | -17 | -17 |
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