Manufacturing Sector - November 2013

Business Survey of the Manufacturing Sector in the Milan Area.

In November 2013, manufacturing confidence in the Milan area increased slightly and was very close to the peak of August 2013.

In detail

The confidence climate index moved to 99.8 in November from 99.0 in October. The increase of the index was due to the improvement of production expectation which reached the highest level since May 2011, and to the domestic demand that came back to the level of August 2013. On the contrary, foreign demand and stocks were stable: in particular, the latter remained just above the level considered normal.

In terms of assessments, industrial production went up to the level of July 2013. Domestic and foreign turnover improved: both values reached the peak of June 2013. Employment slight improved, recovering a part of the drop of October.

With reference to forecasts for the next 3-4 months, orders expectations marked the highest value since May 2011, whilst foreign demand slid to the level of August 2013, but it remained positive. Finally, opinions about the Italian economic rose, coming back on the level of .the summer months although they remained negative.

1. Graphs

Graph 1 - Confidence climate

clima.jpg

Graph 2 - Production assessment

produzione.jpg

Graph 3 - Assessment on domestic orders

ordini_int.jpg

Graph 4 - Assessment on foreign orders

ordini_est.jpg

Graph 5 - Inventories

scorte.jpg

Graph 6 - Production expectation

prev_produzione.jpg

2. Data

Table 1 - Confidence climate1

Reference period Index
(2005=100)
August-13 100.1
September-13 97.0
October-13 99.0
November-13 99.8

1 The industrial confidence indicator is the arithmetic average of the seasonally adjusted data on production expectations, order books and stocks of finished products (with inverted sign). The index base is 2005=100.

 Table 2 - Production

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
Expectation
seasonally adj. data

Expectation
seasonally adj. data

August-13 -2
-65
13
17
September-13 -6
32
9
5
October-13 -2
6
13
-2
November-13 0
-12
15
3

Table 3 - Domestic orders

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
Expectation
seasonally adj. data

Expectation
seasonally adj. data

August-13 -10
-66
1
6
September-13 -14
19
3
-1
October-13 -11
-3
6
-7
November-13 -10
-23
7
-3

Table 4 - Foreign orders

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
Expectation
seasonally adj. data

Expectation
seasonally adj. data

August-13 -1
-55
3
5
September-13 0
33
0
4
October-13 5
11
-6
-3
November-13 5
-3
-3
-5

Table 5 - Domestic turnover

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
August-13 -5 -69
September-13
-14 27
October-13
-11 -8
November-13
-4 -19

Table 6 - Foreign turnover

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
August-13
1 -57
September-13
-5 30
October-13
1 11
November-13 4 -5

Table 7 - Other balances

Reference period Inventories
seasonally adj. data
Inventories
raw data
Employment
seasonally adj. data
Employment
raw data
Expectations on economic situation
seasonally adj. data
Expectations on economic situation
raw data
August-13 -4 -9 -5 -9 -18 -19
Sepetember-13 0 1 -6 -3 -23 -23
October-13 1 0 -10 -11 -24 -23
November-13 1 1
-8 -8 -17 -17

 

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