Business Services Sector - Third quarter 2013
Quarterly Survey on the Business Services Sector in the Milan Area.
In the third quarter 2013 the confidence of business services sector in the Milan Area increased after six months of decreasing values.
In detail
The confidence climate index moved from 65.3 in the Second Quarter to 67.9 in the Third Quarter 2013. The growing of the index was due to the contribution of all three of its components: orders, orders expectation and Italian economic situation improved, even if they stayed on a negative balance.
In terms of assessments, turnover worsened, losing almost entirely the recovery of the last quarter. Prices instead increased, but remaining on a negative value. Employment collapsed, reaching the lowest value since the beginning of the survey (First Quarter 2002).
With reference to forecasts for the next 3-4 months, prices expectations slightly worsened, whereas turnover expectations went up, though maintaining a negative balance. Finally, forecasts about employment were rather steady.
1. Graphs
Graph 1 - Confidence climate

Graph 2 - Expectation on economic situation

Graph 3 - Assessment on orders

Graph 4 - Expectation on order

Graph 5 - Assessment on turnover
Graph 6 - Expectation on turnover

2. Data
Table 1 - Confidence climate
| Reference period | Index (2005=100) |
| third quarter 2012 | 84.6 |
| fourth quarter 2012 | 82.7 |
| first quarter 2013 | 66.9 |
| second quarter 2013 | 65.3 |
| third quarter 2013 | 67.9 |
Table 2 - Orders
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
| third quarter 2012 | -1 | -18 | 32 | 39 |
| fourth quarter 2012 | 18 | 42 | 15 | 12 |
| first quarter 2013 | -10 | -33 | -6 | -3 |
| second quarter 2013 | -16 | -5 | -18 | -29 |
| third quarter 2013 | -12 | -17 | -14 | 2 |
Table 3 - Turnover
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
| third quarter 2012 | -6 | -11 | 11 | -2 |
| fourth quarter 2012 | -5 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| first quarter 2013 | -15 | -31 | 2 | -4 |
| second quarter 2013 | -5 | 17 | -10 | -35 |
| third quarter 2013 | -13 | -32 | -4 | 13 |
Table 4 - Service price
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
| third quarter 2012 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| fourth quarter 2012 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 5 |
| first quarter 2013 | -1 | 2 | -15 | -22 |
| second quarter 2013 | -22 | -26 | -11 | -11 |
| third quarter 2013 | -13 | -13 | -13 | -10 |
Table 5 - Employment
| Reference period | Assessment seasonally adj. data |
Assessment raw data |
Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation |
| third quarter 2012 | -14 | -15 | -26 | -29 |
| fourth quarter 2012 | -27 | -22 | -28 | -29 |
| first quarter 2013 | -24 | -29 | -24 | -21 |
| second quarter 2013 | -6 | -6 | -18 | -15 |
| third quarter 2013 | -34 | -28 | -17 | -20 |
Table 6 - Economic situation
| Reference period | Expectation seasonally adj. data |
Expectation raw data |
| third quarter 2012 | -14 | -13 |
| fourth quarter 2012 | -24 | -20 |
| first quarter 2013 | -34 | -44 |
| second quarter 2013 | -23 | -19 |
| third quarter 2013 | -20 | -13 |
Contact us
For further information please contact the Research Department tel. +390258370.328, e-mail stud@assolombarda.it.
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