Business Services Sector - Third quarter 2013

Quarterly Survey on the Business Services Sector in the Milan Area.

In the third quarter 2013 the confidence of business services sector in the Milan Area increased after six months of decreasing values.

 In detail

The confidence climate index moved from 65.3 in the Second Quarter to 67.9 in the Third Quarter 2013. The growing of the index was due to the contribution of all three of its components: orders, orders expectation and Italian economic situation improved, even if they stayed on a negative balance.

In terms of assessments, turnover worsened, losing almost entirely the recovery of the last quarter. Prices instead increased, but remaining on a negative value. Employment collapsed, reaching the lowest value since the beginning of the survey (First Quarter 2002).

With reference to forecasts for the next 3-4 months, prices expectations slightly worsened, whereas turnover expectations went up, though maintaining a negative balance. Finally, forecasts about employment were rather steady.

1. Graphs

Graph 1 - Confidence climate

 clima.jpg

Graph 2 - Expectation on economic situation

tendenza.jpg

Graph 3 - Assessment on orders

ordini.jpg

Graph 4 - Expectation on order

previsioni-ordini.jpg

Graph 5 - Assessment on turnover
fatturato.jpg

 

Graph 6 - Expectation on turnover

previsioni-fatturato.jpg

 

2. Data

Table 1 - Confidence climate

Reference period Index
(2005=100)
third quarter 2012 84.6
fourth quarter 2012 82.7
first quarter 2013 66.9
second quarter 2013 65.3
third quarter 2013 67.9

Table 2 - Orders

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
Expectation
seasonally adj. data

Expectation
raw data

third quarter 2012 -1 -18 32 39
fourth quarter 2012 18 42 15 12
first quarter 2013 -10 -33 -6 -3
second quarter 2013 -16 -5 -18 -29
third quarter 2013 -12 -17 -14 2

Table 3 - Turnover

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
Expectation
seasonally adj. data

Expectation
raw data

third quarter 2012 -6 -11 11 -2
fourth quarter 2012 -5 4 4 12
first quarter 2013 -15 -31 2 -4
second quarter 2013 -5 17 -10 -35
third quarter 2013 -13 -32 -4 13

Table 4 - Service price

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
Expectation
seasonally adj. data

Expectation
raw data

third quarter 2012 4 4 11 3
fourth quarter 2012 18 9 2 5
first quarter 2013 -1 2 -15 -22
second quarter 2013 -22 -26 -11 -11
third quarter 2013 -13 -13 -13 -10

Table 5 - Employment

Reference period Assessment
seasonally adj. data
Assessment
raw data
Expectation
seasonally adj. data

Expectation
raw data

third quarter 2012 -14 -15 -26 -29
fourth quarter 2012 -27 -22 -28 -29
first quarter 2013 -24 -29 -24 -21
second quarter 2013 -6 -6 -18 -15
third quarter 2013 -34 -28 -17 -20

Table 6 - Economic situation

Reference period Expectation
seasonally adj. data
Expectation
raw data
third quarter 2012 -14 -13
fourth quarter 2012 -24 -20
first quarter 2013 -34 -44
second quarter 2013 -23 -19
third quarter 2013 -20 -13


Contact us

For further information please contact the Research Department tel. +390258370.328, e-mail stud@assolombarda.it.

 

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